← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Feb 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Braunschweig win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 48' | 🟨 | Felix Kroos · Braunschweig |
| 54' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 242.00 | 485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1432.91 | 1398.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.37 | 5.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 26.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 28.98 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |