Holstein Kiel 1–0 Erzgebirge AUE

← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

61'	🟨	Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE
81'	⚽ (pen)	Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel
90'	🟨	Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat each side looked like walking in

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

Metric	Holstein Kiel	Erzgebirge AUE
accuracy ratio (last 10)	0.36	0.34
accuracy ratio (last 3)	0.48	0.37
accuracy ratio (last 5)	0.43	0.33
box share (last 5)	0.65	0.50
cards avg (last 5)	0.00	0.00
coach days	545.00	576.00
congestion 21d	3.00	2.00
corners volatility (last 10)	2.67	1.72
elo	1522.54	1440.14
elo momentum (last 5)	20.09	-6.40
eye test v1	0.61	0.07
eye trend v1	0.31	0.48
first sub minute (last 10)	54.20	57.40
form points (last 5)	10.00	7.00
goal diff avg (last 5)	0.80	-0.60
goals against avg (last 5)	0.80	1.80
goals for avg (last 5)	1.60	1.20
goals volatility (last 10)	0.70	1.20
h2h win rate (last 5)	0.60	0.40
keeper form v1	0.77	0.73
league points	42.00	32.00
league rank	3.00	9.00
matches since blank	20.00	1.00
matches since clean sheet	1.00	0.00
matches since win	1.00	0.00
pass acc avg (last 5)	82.80	74.80
possession avg (last 5)	58.80	45.40
rest days	4.69	7.77
scorer concentration	0.25	0.33
season ppg	1.91	1.45
skill v1	1.14	-0.52
sot against avg (last 5)	1.20	6.80
sot for avg (last 10)	4.80	4.00
sot for avg (last 3)	6.00	5.33
sot for avg (last 5)	5.40	4.40
state index	0.32	-0.48
sterile dominance v1	0.91	-0.74
threat rate (last 10)	0.23	0.27
threat rate (last 3)	0.23	0.36
threat rate (last 5)	0.22	0.30
venue ppg (last 5)	1.80	0.60

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand

venue

Holstein-Stadion