← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Schmidt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 17% | 5.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Bochum −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 62' | ⚽ | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 73' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 81' | ⚽ | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Saulo Decarli · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 13 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 545.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1560.82 | 1354.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.48 | 15.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 42.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 28.45 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |