← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Greuther Furth win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jaka Bijol · Hannover |
| 41' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 42' | 🟨 | Barış Başdaş · Hannover |
| 53' | 🟨 | Valmir Sulejmani · Hannover |
| 68' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 70' | ⚽ | Moussa Doumbouya · Hannover |
| 76' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 484.00 | 757.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1526.87 | 1558.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.07 | 39.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 33.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 24.10 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |