← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Feb 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Regensburg win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Kaan Caliskaner · Regensburg |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 53' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 1336.00 | 1427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1434.40 | 1503.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.52 | -3.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 26.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 26.70 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |