← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Feb 22, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Greuther Furth win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Holstein Kiel |
| 27' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 60' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 83' | ⚽ (og) | Alexander Mühling · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 752.00 | 540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1549.75 | 1565.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.05 | 47.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 9.31 | 10.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.05 | 26.83 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |