← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Feb 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers +1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hamburger SV +1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.69 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Martin Hašek · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 30' | ⚽ | Douglas · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 45' | 🟨 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 54' | ⚽ | Patrick Sontheimer · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 72' | ⚽ | Jeremy Dudziak · Hamburger SV |
| 89' | ⚽ | Bobby Wood · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟥 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 173.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1339.24 | 1586.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.87 | 17.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 12.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.80 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | 1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |