← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Feb 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 33' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 37' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 38' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | 🟥 | Florian Hartherz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 52' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 76' | ⚽ | Shinta Karl Appelkamp · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 79' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 417.00 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| ⚽ |
| Mick Gudra · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 83' | 🟨 | Josip Elez · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mick Gudra · Hannover |
| 478.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.75 |
| elo | 1501.82 | 1489.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.42 | 19.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.63 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.69 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |