← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · VfL Osnabruck |
| 35' | 🟨 | Maurice Trapp · VfL Osnabruck |
| 42' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 50' | ⚽ | Oliver Hüsing · Heidenheim |
| 70' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · VfL Osnabruck |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 88' | ⚽ | Christian Santos · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 1238.00 | 4921.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1391.12 | 1513.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.68 | -1.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 47.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.25 | 26.60 |
| state index | -1.29 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |