← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Darmstadt win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 62' | ⚽ | Omar Marmoush · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 64' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 66' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 82' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Omar Marmoush · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Zander · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 234.00 | 234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.31 | 1470.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.78 | -15.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 28.18 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |