← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Feb 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Bochum +0.75 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Gerrit Holtmann · Bochum |
| 29' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Bussmann · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 85' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| coach days | 568.00 | 537.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1464.09 | 1572.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.96 | 3.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.40 | 28.37 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |