← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Feb 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.22 |
| Braunschweig win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Bochum −1 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Armel Bella-Kotchap · Bochum |
| 32' | ⚽ | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dong-Won Ji · Braunschweig |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lasse Schlüter · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 532.00 | 471.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1566.10 | 1388.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.67 | -13.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 39.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 28.69 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |