← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 43% | 2.24 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SV Sandhausen +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Diego Contento · SV Sandhausen |
| 40' | ⚽ | Patrick Schmidt · SV Sandhausen |
| 46' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 49' | 🟨 | Kevin Wimmer · Karlsruhe |
| 53' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 76' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 12.00 | 378.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1401.95 | 1492.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.74 | 34.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| league points | 18.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.07 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.20 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |