← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Greuther Furth win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Hamburger SV −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Hamburger SV |
| 41' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Hamburger SV |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | 🟥 | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 57' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 227.00 | 743.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1589.43 | 1546.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.23 | 30.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 24.91 |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.36 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |