← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Feb 8, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 40' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kevin Danso · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 47' | ⚽ | Jae-sung Lee · Holstein Kiel |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 404.00 | 526.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1584.45 | 1542.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.21 | 8.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 10.08 | 9.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.43 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |