← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Feb 7, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Regensburg win | 25% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Scott Kennedy · Regensburg |
| 27' | 🟨 | Andre Becker · Regensburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jann George · Regensburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marco Thiede · Karlsruhe |
| 78' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 78' | 🟥 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 372.00 | 1317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1495.32 | 1445.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.38 | -5.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 32.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 26.70 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |