← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Feb 7, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Ridge Munsy · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 17' | 🟨 | Sascha Burchert · Greuther Furth |
| 28' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 50' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | 🟨 | Douglas · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 75' | 🟨 | Anton Stach · Greuther Furth |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mitja Lotrič · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 87' | ⚽ | Robin Kehr · Greuther Furth |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 🟨 |
| Daniel Hägele · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 737.00 | 159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1540.21 | 1349.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.73 | 21.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 28.35 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |