← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Feb 6, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bochum +0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 30' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 35' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 37' | 🟨 | Lukas Gugganig · VfL Osnabruck |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 63' | 🟨 | Armel Bella-Kotchap · Bochum |
| 64' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · VfL Osnabruck |
| 78' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 1224.00 | 524.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1405.02 | 1558.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.28 | 12.77 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 4.69 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 27.87 |
| state index | -1.52 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |