← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Jan 31, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 22% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 15' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 30' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 32' | 🟨 | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 42' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 48' | ⚽ | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 56' | 🟨 | Eric Smith · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Heidenheim |
| 72' | ⚽ | Finn Ole Becker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 74' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 77' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 87' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 4901.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1516.37 | 1410.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.39 | 24.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 4.71 | 2.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 25.97 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |