← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Jan 31, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 45% | 2.12 |
| Karlsruhe win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 15' | 🟨 | Maxim Leitsch · Bochum |
| 20' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 29' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 30' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 79' | 🟨 | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 84' | ⚽ | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Armel Bella-Kotchap · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 518.00 | 365.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1572.84 | 1481.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.63 | 47.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 36.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 2.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 27.84 |
| state index | 0.82 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |