← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Braunschweig win | 20% | 4.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 28' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 31' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 36' | 🟨 | Simon Lorenz · Holstein Kiel |
| 37' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · Braunschweig |
| 50' | 🟨 | Danilo Wiebe · Braunschweig |
| 63' | ⚽ | Yassin Ben Balla · Braunschweig |
| 83' | 🟨 | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟥 | Oumar Diakhite · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 517.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1535.27 | 1404.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.57 | -4.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 33.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 2.69 | 3.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -1.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 28.51 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |