← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Thu, Jan 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 42% | 2.36 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bochum +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 10' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 28' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 32' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 43' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 63' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| coach days | 211.00 | 515.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1417.87 | 1565.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.19 | 42.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 68.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 16.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 4.29 | 4.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 27.85 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |