← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Wed, Jan 27, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 14' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 15' | ⚽ | Marco Komenda · Holstein Kiel |
| 41' | 🟨 | Marco Komenda · Holstein Kiel |
| 71' | 🟨 | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 1397.00 | 514.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1506.25 | 1534.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.82 | -2.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 4.31 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 26.67 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |