← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, Jan 26, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Greuther Furth +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Kevin Wolze · VfL Osnabruck |
| 37' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · VfL Osnabruck |
| 81' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Niklas Schmidt · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 1213.00 | 725.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1419.27 | 1518.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.26 | 12.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 4.08 | 4.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.23 | 26.13 |
| state index | -1.13 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |