← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, Jan 26, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Braunschweig win | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Marcel Bär · Braunschweig |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nico Klass · Braunschweig |
| 88' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Norman Theuerkauf · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 452.00 | 4896.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1392.11 | 1528.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.62 | -14.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.31 | 3.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.74 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.36 | 26.58 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |