← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Jan 24, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Hannover win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Hannover +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 18' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 24' | ⚽ | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
| 35' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · Nurnberg |
| 58' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 72' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 80' | 🟨 | Florent Muslija · Hannover |
| 86' | ⚽ | Patrick Twumasi · Hannover |
| 89' | ⚽ | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 207.00 | 450.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1461.03 | 1516.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.45 | 20.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 25.43 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |