← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Braunschweig win | 15% | 6.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV +1 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Felix Kroos · Braunschweig |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marcel Bär · Braunschweig |
| 45' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Hamburger SV |
| 51' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 59' | ⚽ | Aaron Hunt · Hamburger SV |
| 65' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Hamburger SV |
| 88' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Braunschweig |
| 89' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yari Otto · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 449.00 | 206.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1402.67 | 1568.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.52 | 37.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 67.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 2.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.70 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | -1.01 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |