← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 23, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 59% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 17% | 5.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marvin Pieringer · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 75' | 🟨 | David Kopacz · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 79' | 🟨 | Dominik Meisel · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 1393.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1501.83 | 1343.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.86 | -5.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |