← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Jan 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 42% | 2.36 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Andre Hoffmann · Greuther Furth |
| 29' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 35' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 53' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | 🟨 | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 76' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 83' | ⚽ | Kevin Danso · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 387.00 | 721.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1606.21 | 1514.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.11 | -15.47 |
| eye test v1 | 1.13 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 30.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 25.44 |
| state index | 1.27 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |