← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Winkmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Nurnberg win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bochum −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Manuel Schäffler · Nurnberg |
| 31' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 42' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 73' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 83' | ⚽ | Robert Tesche · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 503.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1559.42 | 1469.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.09 | -2.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |