← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 16, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Hannover −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 10' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 29' | 🟨 | Finn Ole Becker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 32' | 🟨 | Valmir Sulejmani · Hannover |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jaka Bijol · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marvin Ducksch · Hannover |
| 53' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 55' | ⚽ | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Hannover |
| 79' | 🟨 | Timo Hübers · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| 87' | 🟥 | Jaka Bijol · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 442.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1531.46 | 1388.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.81 | -13.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 23.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.65 | -1.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |