← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Jan 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Braunschweig win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 25' | 🟨 | Daniel Hägele · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 51' | 🟥 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 66' | 🟨 | Christian Strohdiek · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 66' | 🟥 | Manuel Schwenk · Braunschweig |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jasmin Fejzić · Braunschweig |
| 70' | 🟨 | Felix Kroos · Braunschweig |
| 76' | 🟨 | Patrick Sontheimer · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 85' | 🟨 | Iba May · Braunschweig |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Lasse Schlüter · Braunschweig |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 136.00 | 441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1343.12 | 1402.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.56 | -35.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| league points | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | -1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 28.63 |
| state index | -0.81 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |