← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Jan 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 44% | 2.21 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 29% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 24' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 714.00 | 1385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1516.89 | 1499.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.34 | -3.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.53 | 25.94 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |