← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Mon, Jan 11, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Braunschweig win | 23% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Braunschweig +0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Lasse Schlüter · Braunschweig |
| 55' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Braunschweig |
| 61' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Braunschweig |
| 69' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Schwenk · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 7 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 437.00 | 376.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1398.93 | 1594.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.88 | 43.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.72 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.88 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |