← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Jan 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Benjamin Goller · Karlsruhe |
| 6' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 23' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 28' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 40' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Benjamin Goller · Karlsruhe |
| 59' | 🟨 | Maximilian Bauer · Greuther Furth |
| 84' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| coach days | 342.00 | 707.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1446.93 | 1527.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.74 | 2.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 19.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 24.48 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |