← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Jan 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Marvin Knoll · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 27' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Afeez Aremu · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ohlsson · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 82' | ⚽ | Leon Flach · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 702.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1522.50 | 1390.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.54 | -38.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.63 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 24.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.03 | 25.38 |
| state index | 0.16 | -1.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |