← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 46% | 2.09 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 27% | 3.63 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers +0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe +0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Dirk Carlson · Karlsruhe |
| 8' | 🟨 | Toko Nzuzi · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 12' | ⚽ | Benjamin Goller · Karlsruhe |
| 20' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Karlsruhe |
| 28' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 32' | ⚽ (og) | Marvin Wanitzek · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 44' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dirk Carlson · Karlsruhe |
| 58' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 123.00 |
| venue | flyeralarm-Arena |
| Dirk Carlson · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 67' | ⚽ (og) | Christoph Kobald · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hendrik Hansen · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alexander Groiss · Karlsruhe |
| 336.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.13 |
| elo | 1310.16 | 1394.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.01 | -8.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 11.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.12 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |