← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Jan 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Darmstadt win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bochum −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Cristian Gamboa · Bochum |
| 13' | 🟨 | Armel Bella-Kotchap · Bochum |
| 80' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Tobias Kempe · Bochum |
| 83' | ⚽ | Miloš Pantović · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 489.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1538.20 | 1518.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.72 | 25.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 68.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 26.48 |
| state index | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |