← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Dec 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 43% | 2.23 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SV Sandhausen +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 49' | 🟨 | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jannik Dehm · Holstein Kiel |
| 80' | 🟥 | Diego Contento · SV Sandhausen |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 49.00 | 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1409.39 | 1536.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.84 | 51.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 11.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 27.96 |
| state index | -1.12 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |