← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Dec 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gräfe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Heidenheim win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bochum −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Danny Blum · Bochum |
| 32' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 474.00 | 4857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1522.68 | 1543.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.35 | 24.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 27.30 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |