← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Wed, Dec 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Winkmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 60% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Braunschweig win | 17% | 5.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 19' | ⚽ | Chris Führich · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 23' | 🟨 | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marcel Bär · Braunschweig |
| 73' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 74' | 🟥 | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 76' | 🟨 | Chima Okoroji · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 81' | ⚽ | Nick Proschwitz · Braunschweig |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Prince-Osei Owusu · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Bär · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟥 | Marcel Bär · Braunschweig |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 1355.00 | 411.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1489.97 | 1421.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.75 | -40.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 28.46 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |