← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, Dec 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Darmstadt win | 29% | 3.38 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 18' | 🟨 | Hans Nunoo Sarpei · Greuther Furth |
| 24' | 🟨 | Lars Lukas Mai · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 49' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
| 76' | ⚽ | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lars Lukas Mai · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟥 | Lars Lukas Mai · Darmstadt |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 10 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 683.00 | 167.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1530.17 | 1488.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.22 | -45.42 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.15 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |