← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Tue, Dec 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 63% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1 | 51% | 1.91 |
| SV Sandhausen −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 33' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 58' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | 🟨 | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 67' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 74' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Hamburger SV |
| 76' | 🟨 | Simon Terodde · Hamburger SV |
| 78' | 🟨 | Diego Contento · SV Sandhausen |
| 78' | ⚽ | Amadou Onana · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | ⚽ | Josha Vagnoman · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 167.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1531.14 | 1419.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.36 | -32.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.23 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 28.07 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |