← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Dec 12, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jaka Bijol · Hannover |
| 65' | 🟨 | Andreas Geipl · Heidenheim |
| 80' | 🟨 | Genki Haraguchi · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 4851.00 | 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1540.14 | 1502.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.35 | -43.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.54 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |