← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Fri, Dec 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 44% | 2.26 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 54' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 59' | 🟨 | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Robert Žulj · Bochum |
| 61' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
| 89' | 🟨 | Danilo Soares · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 467.00 | 1350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1523.33 | 1503.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.07 | 12.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |