← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Dec 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Regensburg win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Regensburg +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 22' | 🟨 | Florian Ballas · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 29' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Stolze · Regensburg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ognjen Gnjatic · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 61' | 🟨 | Albion Vrenezi · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 493.00 | 1254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1501.38 | 1445.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.05 | -19.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 26.90 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.19 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |