← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Dec 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Nurnberg win | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Nurnberg |
| 20' | 🟨 | Nikola Dovedan · Nurnberg |
| 28' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 49' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Nurnberg |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johannes Dörfler · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Felix Lohkemper · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 1345.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1523.97 | 1451.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.14 | 2.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 25.78 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |