← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sun, Nov 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Schmidt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 32% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Hannover −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Barış Başdaş · Hannover |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 57' | ⚽ (og) | Dominik Kaiser · Holstein Kiel |
| 60' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 71' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Hannover |
| 71' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Hannover |
| 71' | 🟥 | Simon Falette · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 2 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 394.00 | 455.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1511.58 | 1484.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.05 | -5.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 27.43 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |