← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Karlsruhe win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 11' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexander Groiss · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Goller · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 301.00 | 1337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1441.73 | 1534.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 56.03 | 55.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 25.84 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |