← 2. Bundesliga 2020 · Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Diego Contento · SV Sandhausen |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 31' | ⚽ | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 39' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 40' | ⚽ | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 63' | ⚽ | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 74' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 84' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 84' | 🟥 | John-Patrick Strauss · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philip Türpitz · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 27.00 | 485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1444.89 | 1482.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.84 | -4.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 29.09 |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |